Monday, October 6, 2008

He is going for Broke !!!!!

All eyes will now be focused on Badawi and his decision in the next one or two days, and judging from what is happening it is going to be a Battle Roayle. Fasten your seat belts this is going to be on rough ride.

Muhyiddin's running mate
The latest entry from Johor, Pulai MP Nur Jazlan Mohamad is seen as Muhyiddin Yassin's insurance. If Abdullah decides to go for broke as expected, Muhyiddin will enter himself for the race of the Presidency and he will not be short of support to do so, the majority of the Johor Divisions will support him, Badawi is expected to get good support from Negeri Sembilan, Selangor (from Mohammed Taib's factions), and Penang with a smattering from Perak, Kedah.

Najib is on thin ice
Najib is unlikely to contest Pa Lah if he decides to go in, and that will result in a three cornered fight between Dollah, Muhyiddin and Razaleigh. Najib's factions will then be forced to throw their weight behind Razaleigh, because Najib will not want to play second fiddle to Muhyiddin. That is why Muhyiddin has refused to comment on his position right now. Najib will partner Tengku Razaleigh on the assurance that KU LI will hand over after one term. Whatever it is Najib now walks on thin ice, and it is mighty thin.

Jamal Mohamad will make the right running mate for Muhyiddin, he is young and his ambitions can be put on hold, for Muhyiddin to enjoy a sufficiently long tenure as President and Prime Minister.

I did talk about Rais Yatim and today Malaysiakini in an article has expressed similar sentiments. The real kingmaker at the end will be the UMNO information chief - Mohammed Taib, although there is speculation he may step in it is quite unlikely, if he really intended to he would have done it a long time ago, but now Abdullah is banking on his support and it is very likely he has got it.

Reading Between the lines
The strongest hint that Abdullah intends to go for broke is in today's Malaysiakini article "Abdullah to decide within two days" in which he is quoted as saying, “I know that Zaid Ibrahim is not with us any more. That does not mean everything has to stop. It’s not his idea, anyway, it was mine. It was in the 2004 (election) manifesto, remember? I must make good my promises. I must deliver,”

If he must deliver he must stay, and to stay he must contest, this UMNO battle is to become Battle Royale, and going by any count most decent UMNO members want an end to the ruling dynasties, the Mahathir clan, The Razak Clan, and the Onn Jaffar clan, they want people who do not have baggage to carry forward, they want clean men of honour to lead the party and stop the disease that has eroded it over the years especially during the Mahathir years.

If Abdullah decides to test strength by offering himself for the Presidency, Najib is gone, with the current line ups Najib is gone, for Najib to stand for Deputy will almost be unthinkable especially if Muhyiddin decides to go for the Presidency.

Brace yourself for Battle Royale, and whlist it goes on the country will still remain mismanaged.

Frankly Xroy

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